Pedro Forquesato

Bio

I am an Assistant Professor of Economics in the School of Economics, Business and Accounting at the University of São Paulo (FEA-USP) and lead researcher at LabPub.

Previously, I was a post-doctoral researcher at University of São Paulo (2018-2019) and Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro (2016-2018), where I also earned my Doctorate in Economics in 2016. In 2014 I was a visiting scholar at Harvard Kennedy School of Government. You can find more detailed information about my professional activities in my [Lattes CV] or [Google Scholar profile].

My research interests are in the field of political and public sector economics. Currently, I am involved in projects studying patronage and the efficiency of municipal bureaucracy, as well as studying characteristics of taxation in low-income and middle-income countries.

As hobbies, I like rowing, literature, and chess. I have a wonderful wife and a cute young son.

Contact

pforquesato [at] usp [dot] br
Avenida Professor Luciano Gualberto, 908
FEA 2 Building, 217. University of São Paulo
São Paulo, SP 05508-010
Brazil

Teaching

Undergraduate

Economia do Setor Público (EAE0310): (2022-) An undergraduate course in public economics for advanced students, covering public goods and externalities, social insurance, and taxation (PT-BR).

Graduate

Estatística (EAE5841): (2024-) A graduate-level summer course in statistics for students entering the graduate program in economics.

Econometria I (EAE6029): (2023-) A graduate half-semester course in econometrics, covering linear regression, panel data, and causality, as part of the core sequence (PT-BR).

Econometria II (EAE6030): (2019-2021) A graduate half-semester course in econometrics, covering non-linear estimation methods, as part of the core sequence (PT-BR).

Public Finance (EAE6060): (2020-) A graduate half-semester course in public economics, focusing on contemporary research on economics of taxation and related topics (EN).

Research

Working papers and published articles

Who Benefits from Political Connections in Brazilian Municipalities. Under the (empirically supported) assumption that in close elections the result of the election is as good as random, I estimate a causal forest to identify heterogeneity in the conditional average treatment effect of being affiliated to the party of the winning mayor on public employment. Presentations: Federal University of Rio de Janeiro (July, 2022), LACEA Annual Meeting (November, 2022), Brazilian Econometric Society (December, 2022). [Slides] [Video].

To the Victor Belongs the Spoils? Party Membership and Public Sector Employment in Brazil, with Fernanda Brollo and Juan Carlos Gozzi. We analyze how parties winning a mayoral election affects the number of their affiliates in the municipal bureaucracy, using close races in Brazil. We find an increase of 40% in the number of members of the winning party working in the municipal bureaucracy. Na mídia: [Nexo Jornal].

Social norms of work ethic and incentives in organizations. I model how incentive choice by firms and cultural values of work effort affect each other. Intuitively, firms will choose steeper incentives when agents are willing to engage in high effort, and conversely, intergenerational transmission of work values will be more profitable when incentives are higher powered. Published at: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, vol. 128 (2016) [Preprint].

Work in progress

The male breadwinner norm in Brazil: a bunching approach, with Fabiana Rocha and Kauany Souza. Presentations: 3rd Brazilian Meeting on Family and Gender Economics (September, 2022), ANPEC Annual Meeting (December, 2022). Working paper coming soon. [Slides].

Papers in Portuguese

O Recadastramento Biométrico Reduz Participação Política?, with Pedro Rodrigues. Published at: Estudos Econômicos, vol. 53.3 (2023)

Non-academic writing

Policy briefs and technical reports

Considerações sobre o efeito distributivo e a perda arrecadatória de um reajuste da tabela do IRPF, with Ana Bottega and Luiza Nassif Pires. Notas de Política Econômica nº34, Made/USP, 10/03/2023. (PT-BR).

Revisão Periódica de Gastos: Uma Breve Discussão, with Camily Vieira and Fabiana Rocha. Boletim Informações Fipe, 05/2023. (PT-BR).

Consórcios Intermunicipais na Formulação de Políticas Públicas Locais, with Natan Cuel. Boletim Informações Fipe, 01/2022. (PT-BR).

Opinion writing

Por um novo arcabouço fiscal-orçamentário, with Fabiana Rocha and Luis Meloni. Valor Econômico, 29/03/2023. (PT-BR). [img]

Cautela no reajuste da tabela do IRPF, with Fabiana Rocha. Valor Econômico, 06/10/2022. (PT-BR). [img]

O dilema de definir preços de derivados de petróleo. Valor Econômico, 15/06/2022. (PT-BR). [img]

Atenção aos gastos tributários, with Fabiana Rocha and Luis Meloni. Valor Econômico, 03/02/2022. (PT-BR). [img]

Para entender um pouco sobre os paraísos fiscais, with Fabiana Rocha. Valor Econômico, 08/11/2021. (PT-BR). [img]

Afinal, a taxação de dividendos reduz o investimento?, with Fabiana Rocha and Luis Meloni. Jornal da USP, 19/07/2021. (PT-BR).

Created by Pedro Forquesato. Last updated: March, 2024.